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Data Science Electricity Project

Modelling weather data to predict electricity consumption.

Introduction Correlation Analysis Forecasting Conclusion

Correlation Analysis

In this section we model the correlations in the data primarily investigating the relationship between various weather parameters with energy consumption of different sample consumer segments.

“Static” correlations

Correlation map below indicates how different weather parameters are correlated to energy consumption across the three customer segments including how the weather parameters correlate. When the correlation is negative (temperature for example) it means that when temperature goes down the electricity consumption increases.

Correlations

The energy consumer segments have positive correlations although low while temperature has a positive correlation with enery consumption in a commercial building and an apartment block while the correlation is negative for an industrial consumer.

Industrial energy consumption and weather parameters

Correlations

Commercial building energy consumption and weather parameters

Correlations

Residential block energy consumption and weather parameters

Correlations

Rolling correlations

Rolling correlations for of different weather attributes and energy consumption for the industrial customer (ic) indicating that the correlations are not stable through out the sample period

Dynamcis of correlations

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